Archive for the 'The Law' Category

Mobile Declaration of Independence: Our Oppressor

Tuesday, July 11th, 2006

A week ago I laid down the challenge for us to create a Declaration of Independence for mobility. In that post, I pointed out that the bulk of the original 1776 American Declaration of Independence was a series of charges against the King of England indicating how the American colonies were being oppressed.

For us to declare our independence, we must first identify our oppressor.

Clearly, mobility provides freedom from “fixedness.” As we develop our list of charges against our oppressor, they will largely or entirely be the injustice of being tied to a specific location.

But what is forcing us into this fixed state?

Being in the telecom industry, the easy answer is the traditional telephone network. However, I believe that many fixed things and processes that are now being made mobile are tied to a place by non-telephone components - either because the equipment involved is too difficult to move or because of other forms of connectivity that are place-specific.

As much as anything, I think what we’re struggling against is a mindset that is firmly embedded in how products and processes are designed and in how businesses operate.

For fun, I’d like to call this oppressing force “Big Bell Dogma.”

According to Wikipedia, “dogma” is belief or doctrine held by a religion, ideology or any kind of organization to be authoritative and not to be disputed or doubted.

I think this well captures the mindset against which we fight. It is the belief held by product development groups and by those that define processes that “of course it can’t move, it never has.”

“Big Bell” is a reference to the way AT&T built the telephone network over the last century or so. As mentioned above, not all oppression against mobility is related to telephony, but I think the mindset of that old company well reflects the mindets we’re fighting against.

In Nerds 2.0.1, this mindset is well reflected by this quote from Len Kleinrock, one of the key players in the establishment of the ARPAnet, which would become the Internet: “I would say, ‘Please give us good data communications,’ and they would reply, ‘The United States is a copper mine - we have phone lines everywhere so use the telephone network.’ I would counter, ‘But you don’t understand, it takes twenty-five seconds to set up a call, you charge me for a minimum three minutes, and all I want is to send a millisecond of data.’ Their reply was, ‘Go away, children, the revenue stream from data transmission is dwarfed by that of our voice traffic.’ So the children went away and created the Internet!”

Back in 1995 when I co-founded an Internet startup, I encountered this same mentality within the businesses that we were selling to - a sense that communications would never change. Even though the original AT&T had been broken up 11 years earlier, when I asked one of our customers who his local telephone company was, his retort was “AT&T, of course!”

These examples are specific to the Internet, but I believe this “dogma” extends to a bias against mobility as well. The copper and fiber networks that have been built by the telecom industry represent truly “buried” costs that have historically translated into tremendous wealth creation. Obviously, these assets are well suited to continue to serve a purpose in the information economy, but newer technologies provide tremendous advantages for many applications that have traditionally been served by these fixed facilities.

What we fight against is the mindset represented by those who defend the tethering of products and processes to specific places. This mindset is fueled by the investments that have been made that establish power in the companies, departments, and individuals that stand in the way of mobilizing our lives and our businesses. These investments are not always in hard assets, but often are investments of time and experience to establish intellectual and relational assets. We should expect our assault on these “fixed” ways to be defended to the death.

So, at least personally for me, this “Big Bell Dogma” is a fair representation of the oppressor that is holding back the independence promised by Mobility.

Editorial note: Although there is still a company called AT&T, I think my readers recognize that the modern AT&T is not really the “bad guy” I’m referencing here.

The original AT&T was first dismantled in 1984 as the result of a Justice Department anti-trust action. The company that retained the AT&T name continued to self-destruct, first splitting out its innovation arm as Lucent and its computing arm as NCR and later spinning off AT&T wireless.

The company formerly known as Southwestern Bell was one of the “Baby Bells” created in 1984 out of AT&T and has been working hard to recreate much of what the original Ma Bell had been, most dramatically acquiring the remains of AT&T and taking on that moniker in the past few months.

However, this new AT&T is a very different company that has benefited as much from the fall of the old Ma Bell as anyone has. I’m not saying that the new AT&T is immune from the defensiveness described above as “Big Bell Dogma” (are any of us?), but I ask that no one equate the two.

.mobi doa?

Thursday, July 6th, 2006

Techdirt is reporting that domain registrations for the .mobi TLD are lagging to the point that the .mobi folks have had to extend the registration period.  Of course, this is no surprise to us, since:

a) There’s no need for a new domain - businesses just need to develop mobile-friendly versions of their site and use the existing web standards to automatically point mobile users to the mobile-friendly version, and

b) .mobi itself reflects the lack of understanding of its organizers since .mobi is one of the hardest TLDs to type on a mobile device (especially if the only input is a numeric keypad).

 

Painfully living in the real world

Wednesday, July 5th, 2006

Jason Fry, in his column in the Wall Street Journal this week (subscription required), wrote about frustrating gaps between how we want the mobile world to work and how it really does.  I share his frustrations.  However, his article rambles quite a bit and reaches an inconsistent conclusion. 

His first observations are about how we’ve come to enjoy the power of the Internet, and then he laments that that power isn’t yet available on mobile devices.

I had a recent experience with that frustration, which should be a lesson for any business.  This weekend, my family and I went shopping.  Before we left, I looked up online the address of a couple of businesses that I’d never been to but that I wanted to check out.  My memory is lacking and I accidentally left at home the paper on which I’d written down the addresses, but the first place I wanted to try I remembered the general area it was in and, based on the address, believed I’d be able to see it while driving down a main thoroughfare.

Unfortunately, we didn’t see it, even after retracing our steps a couple of times.

No problem.  I pulled out my PPC-6700 and typed in the web address for the chain of businesses, one of which I was looking for.  The website format totally fell apart on the small screen of my Windows Mobile device, but I was able to find the form field to type in a zip code and the button to “Find Stores.”  With my broadband connection, the resulting page quickly appeared, however, the dark blue left border of the web page completely covered up everything except the last few characters of the longest lines of each address, making it impossible to read anything.

As frustration and impatience grew within the car, we merely drove on to their competitor whose location I’d remembered well enough to find.

The mobile world failed, simply because the web developers of that global business had failed to accomodate the needs of a mobile user.  As I’ve pointed out before, this is not such a hard problem to solve.  Broad adoption of mobile-friendly adaptation of web content would be a huge first step towards making the Mobile World a better world.

But Mr. Fry doesn’t stop there.  He spends most of the article talking about the cool use of a compass and GPS in a cellphone as embodied by GeoVector to enable information interaction in a real-world way that goes way beyond anything possible on the Web.

This is truly cool stuff and really points towards the power of mobility.  I hope that these kinds of futures happen and that they happen soon.

But, Mr. Fry closes by blaming wireless providers for the fact they haven’t happened yet.

“If even GeoVector’s current services sound like science fiction, to an unfortunate extent they are — in the U.S. Why does it seem like our cellphones and PDAs do so much less than Japan’s? Blame a combination of factors — but above all, blame the four big U.S. wireless companies.”

Given that GeoVector only announced their technology on May 1 of this year, I think Mr. Fry needs to give wireless carriers time to adopt this new cool stuff. 

Hopefully we’ll all soon by pointing and clicking on the real world (as GeoVector would describe it).

In the meantime, Mr. Fry and I could both benefit from learning to exercise some patience.

Creating a Mobile Declaration of Independence

Tuesday, July 4th, 2006

Happy 4th of July!

We in these United States of America set aside this day to celebrate the relative freedom that we have. The date is picked because of the linkage to the specific act of adopting a Declaration of Independence from the Kingdom of Great Britain under King George III. (Although, of course, these days Great Britain is a strong friend and ally of the Americans.)

The parts of that document that most often come to my mind are the noble words of “When in the course of human events…” and self-evident truths and that all men (and women) “are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights” including “Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.”

These are strong and powerful words, containing concepts to which we should cling tightly.

But, in reality, most of the document is an indictment of how the King and his government had abused the American colonies and therefore stating their case for separation and independent sovereignty.

On this day, I propose that we begin work on creating a declaration of independence for mobility.

For those of us who believe passionately in mobility, I sense that much of what we value in mobility is the freedom that it brings us. But freedom from what? Do we feel oppressed when we don’t have mobility? Just as the Revolutionary War had been raging for over a year when the Continental Congress voted to adopt the American Declaration of Independence, the Mobility Revolution has begun, but it is far from won.

Don’t get me wrong. I don’t really see mobility on the same level as democracy and freedom from oppression. I don’t truly equate this bloodless revolution with the ones in which real people die. Most of all, I’m too much of a coward to pledge my life, my fortune, or my sacred honor to this cause of freedom.

But I still see value in this exercise.

I set as a goal to have this declaration complete by August 2 since that was the day that most of signers put their names to the original Declaration of Independence. I hope you’ll help me over the coming weeks.

Are you with me?

A few side notes:

Recent Research: June 2006

Saturday, July 1st, 2006

Research is good. Free highlights from expensive research reports are great. Here are some recent headlines:


Layer 10

Friday, June 23rd, 2006

You may have been missing some of the most exciting news in mobility because it’s happening (or rather not happening) in IEEE standards committees.  Qualcomm, Intel, Motorola and others are battling over the 802.20 standard for broadband wireless technologies.

However, the debates aren’t over technical merits, but rather over politics.  It’s rather interesting that the 802.20 standards seemed stalled for years with some claiming that Qualcomm was the main inhibitor.  You see, the 802.20 standards seemed to be heading towards using technology by a startup spun-out from Lucent.  That company, Flarion Technologies, was acquired by Qualcomm last year, and what do you know, all of a sudden the standards proceedings magically picked up pace again.

Well now Intel and friends are implying that the chairman of the 802.20 group is on Qualcomm’s payroll and therefore, the Flarion technology is getting an unfair level of attention.

Of course the real problem goes back to the Ten Layer Stack.  As you may recall, most technologists focus on the 7 technology layers defined in the OSI reference model.  However, in reality, technology decisions often have almost nothing to do with technology - instead they come down to marketing, finance, and politics.

With Intel clearly focused on the success of WiMax (802.16 standards) as an alternative to 802.20 technologies, I don’t suppose Intel’s actions have anything to do with the fact they have financial gains at risk if the 802.20 standards get approved too quickly.  No, couldn’t be… 

And I always thought standards committees were boring…

 

Lessons for Mobility

Wednesday, June 21st, 2006

Techdirt has a great article this week contrasting people’s attraction to Wi-Fi enabled devices with people’s disdain for their cellular devices (seemingly largely driven by their dissatisfaction with their cellular carriers).

What are the lessons for those believing in the revolutionary power of mobility?

I tend to think it has to do with the direction of integration…  A laptop maker who builds mobility (in the form of WiFi) into their laptop, still has a great laptop but now the value is increased by mobility.  A wireless company that sells a voice plan, but then tries to build laptop functionality into a cellphone has a cellphone that’s slightly improved, but isn’t a very good laptop.

Building mobility into products creates significant incremental value.

Converging a capability into my mobile device creates some value, in that now I have that capability everywhere I go, but if the compromises are too great, mostly it can create frustration.

Cameras: Mobility vs. Disposability

Friday, June 16th, 2006

Techdirt has a great piece this week on the continued market strength of disposable cameras. They identify the logic behind this as “the best camera at any given point is the one you have with you.”

This, of course, is very close to the logic behind the Law of Mobility - that the value of any product (with cameraphones being one of my favorite examples) increases with its mobility - where mobility is the % of time the product is fully available for use.

Therefore, it’s a pretty logical conclusion that the same thing that makes a cameraphone valuable - the fact that you have it when you realize that you want to take a picture but didn’t remember/think to bring your “real” camera, is the same thing that drives sales of disposable cameras. I’m sure the makers of disposable cameras are all over this and realize that if sales of cameraphones continues to take off, then that’s bad news for them. I would guess that very few disposable cameras are purchased by cameraphone owners.

However, this is probably a good time to (once again) acknowledge that cameraphones generally don’t take very good pictures. The $5 disposable camera will almost always yield better results than the $200 cameraphone! A recent In-Stat study reported that phone buyers are fed up with the poor resolution and lack of storage options on cameraphones. Perhaps just in time, handset manufacturers are introducing cameraphones that may start to deliver. Of course, one of the hold-ups has been the time it would take to upload multi-megapixel photos over a pre-3G network. Especially as carriers roll-out even faster upload capabilities, the overall customer experience with these new devices may drive yet more change in photography market trends.

This past Saturday, at the Greenhouse event, Techdirt’s Mike Masnick commented that the value of a camerphone is not only that it is with you, but also that it’s connected. I certainly agree with that, and as those connections get faster in more places, the value of cameraphones will undoubtedly increase. Sitting amongst that collection of, admittedly technology early adopters, it was enlightening to see the broad use of cameraphones, accompanied immediately by sending e-mails (e.g. sending a photo of the CEO presenting out to the troops) and uploading to Flickr, as if to prove Mike’s point.

In trying to bring a thoughtful close to what has been perhaps my most rambling post ever… Perhaps we in the mobile industry should feel good, as stewards of creation, that the products we are bringing to market may some day make disposable products unnecessary (we can only hope and pray).

techdirt greenhouse

Sunday, June 11th, 2006

Yesterday was the second techdirt greenhouse in Sunnyvale, California. I was pleased to be able to participate and really enjoyed the interaction.

In the spirit of the event, modern tools are being used to capture and extend the day beyond the bounds of time and space:

As the token “big company” at the event, I hope I brought some different perspectives and I certainly benefitted from hearing fresh voices different than what I normally encounter wandering around our corporate campus in Kansas.

I set up the discussion with a very brief intro to the concepts of the Mobility Era and how the Law of Mobility is driving change into business. We then split into groups of about 10, with two assigned specifically to address the questions of how mobility would change how businesses operate and compete.

Some of the comments that resonated with me:

  • Mobility creates convenience.
  • Mobility also creates immediacy, which has tremendous value for any form of communications, so clearly mobility will be built into all modes of communications - even more than currently.
  • Even when mobility is used for business, it’s intensely personal.
  • A poor quality camera can have value because it’s mobile, but the mobile applications available today (in at least one person’s opinion) “suck” and making them mobile doesn’t create value.
  • For mobile applications, the key will be whether the network is open or closed.
  • The fact that carriers require you to sign up for at least a year before you can use the network will limit businesses’ willingness to experiment with new mobile applications.
  • WiFi is an interesting study in the power and danger dynamic of mobility. In general, IT departments deployed WiFi because of the “danger” (or more accurately the cost and hassle) of running cables. But once there, people discovered the power of mobility, working in ways previously not imagined to create tremendous new value for the company.

If anyone was there and has additional comments, please feel free to share them!

IT = Mobility Management?

Wednesday, June 7th, 2006

A column this week by Richard Martin, senior editor of Unstrung, highlights the key points made by panelists in a session Martin moderated at the Globalcomm conference.

The panel included Dr. Pat King, head of global electronics strategies for Michelin; Luc Roy, the vice president of product planning for Siemens AG ; and Nate Walker, the senior director of product management for Meru Networks Inc.

Martin referenced a slide by Siemens’ Roy as saying “the overarching responsibility of the traditional IT department moving from ‘information technology management’ to ‘mobility management.’ In other words, the entire job description and world view of IT are being shifted by the larger transition to mobility that we are seeing in enterprises today.”

Although I totally agree with the general direction of movement - that mobility will be a dominant focus for IT in the coming decade - I think he’s going a bit far.

What do you think?