Archive for the 'The Law' Category

The IBM PC: 25 Years Later

Friday, August 11th, 2006

The BBC has a great article about the 25 year anniversary of the launch of the IBM PC.

Here are some quotes from the article that are relevant to our discussion on the Mobility Age:

“The machine … altered the way business was done forever and sparked a revolution in home computing.”

“Moving this revolution forward are the one billion PCs that are now in use around the world. In many ways, the PC has become in the developed world, an essential tool in our everyday lives.”

“Ray Ozzie, Microsoft’s chief software architect, told the firm’s shareholders last month the PC era was coming to an end. ‘We’re now in a new era, an era in which the internet is at the centre of so much that we do now with our PCs,’ he told them.”

“With all this small mobile technology and the growth of wireless internet, will people on the move bother owning a PC at all?”

The Law of Mobility is all about the observation that we are entering a new era.  As Ray Ozzie notes, we are already in the Internet Era.  The PC Era enabled the Internet Era to happen, and both the PC Era (enabling very inexpensive computing power to be built into mobile devices) and the Internet Era (enabling connectivity to everyone and every piece of information in the world) are enabling the Mobility Era to happen.

As the article notes, the PC radically changed how we live our lives and how we operate our businesses.  The Internet has similarly radically changed how we live and do business.  And now, Mobility is beginning to have the same impact on all of us.

The PC era was defined by Moore’s Law.  Moore’s Law is all about processing power and specifically price/performance.  Because computing power became incredibly inexpensive, it could be built into everything.

The Internet era was defined by Metcalfe’s Law.  Metcalfe’s Law is all about networks and specifically the value of networks relative to their connectivity.  Because the Internet is connected to everything and everyone, it has become incredibly valuable and integral to everything we do.

The Mobility era is defined by the Law of Mobility.  The Law of Mobility is all about being able to do things anytime and anywhere and specifically how that creates value.  Because Mobility enables products and services to be with you and usable all the time, whereever you go, our patterns of how we live and operate will radically change to follow.

Thanks BBC for giving us an opportunity to look back and reflect, and to look forward and imagine!

Sprint’s WiMax Network Set to Power Mobility Age

Wednesday, August 9th, 2006

Yesterday, Sprint formally announced the long anticipated plans for a Fourth Generation (4G) broadband wireless network using the company’s 2.5GHz licensed spectrum.  Sprint had already committed to launching advanced services using the spectrum as part of gaining approval of the merger of Sprint and Nextel a year ago.  So the real news yesterday was the choice of WiMax (802.16) as the technology to be used for the network, key partnerships with Intel, Motorola, and Samsung, and that trials would launch by the end of 2007.

In the announcement, Sprint CEO Gary Forsee acknowledges the impact of mobility on our lives and our businesses: “None of us today can envision our lives without wireless connectivity or the Internet.”

KiTae Lee, president of Samsung’s Telecommunications Network Business explained how Sprint’s technology choice will help further extend the impact of mobility on the world: “I believe Sprint Nextel’s decision to deploy Mobile WiMAX as the 4G network technology will set a milestone in the U.S. telecommunication industry’s history and contribute to further advancements in wireless technology. Mobile WiMAX has the fastest data transfer rate among the existing wireless technologies and is based on all-IP technology. Mobile WiMAX-based services will create a new paradigm shift in wireless services and improve consumer lifestyles. I believe that Sprint Nextel will successfully provide this mobile WiMAX technology based service and begin a new revolution in mobile broadband services nationwide.”

But, what does that revolution look like?

In short, it is mobility being built into every product, every service, and every process, thereby creating tremendous value for the consumers of those products and services, and for the businesses that provide them.

In the simplest example, yesterday’s announcement pointed to building WiMax bandwidth into consumer electronics products. As RCR Wireless News reported in their coverage of the event: “One key element of the strategy is to have the chipsets embedded in a variety of consumer electronics devices. During a conference call with analysts, Sprint Nextel Chief Executive Officer Gary Forsee described chipsets potentially being embedded in portable game stations, video cameras, MP3 players and vehicle navigation systems to provide wireless connectivity for those items—and potential new revenue streams for Sprint Nextel.”

BusinessWeek apparently recently interviewed Atish Gude, Sprint’s chief strategy officer, who also provided key insights into the impact of this announcement on building mobility into products and into our lives: “It will be a life-changing event for the customer to have control and connectivity…. [the] ability to enable the iPod to connect anywhere, anytime is a very powerful concept… We’re not creating new trends but we’re enabling them in a different way.”

The Motley Fool gets it (although perhaps going a bit overboard…): “I’ve come to believe that as computer chips move beyond cell phones and laptops to become embedded throughout our environment — even in our bodies — WiMAX’s type of ubiquitous communication will come to be viewed as an essential element for navigating, prospering in, and surviving in tomorrow’s brave new world.”

Welcome to this brave new world. 

Stay tuned here at law-of-mobility.com to watch it unfold before your eyes and to stay on the cutting edge of capturing the power and managing the danger of mobility.

Historical Example: Sony Walkman

Tuesday, August 8th, 2006

In 1979, Sony introduced mobility into the world of consumer electronics.  The Walkman combined a small, battery powered cassette tape player with lightweight headphones to create a personal music device that you could take with you wherever you went.

Before the Walkman, people could listen to music in their homes or in their cars.  Portable “boomboxes” had begun to be produced, but were intrusive, being too large and heavy for many activities and forcing the owners’ listening preferences on everyone in the immediate vicinity.

The mid-1970s had been hard on Sony, as competitors like RCA, Zenith, Toshiba, and JVC adopted and improved upon technologies Sony had invented.  The company lost share in critical markets and overall revenue growth slowed from 166% for the first four years of the decade to 35% for the next four.  

The Walkman ushered in the 1980s as a period of unprecedented growth for Sony.  The company’s sales and operating revenues grew from 643 billion Yen in 1979 to nearly 3 trillion Yen in 1989.   The Walkman also played a pivotal role in establishing Sony as a global brand standing for innovation and entertainment. 

However, this success was not guaranteed when the product was envisioned by Sony’s founder and honorary chairman, Masaru Ibuku.  To keep dimensions small and the price relatively affordable, the Walkman lacked a record function.  Critics claimed that no one would buy a tape machine that couldn’t record.  Industry experts could not yet envision that the value of mobility would outweigh any feature limitations in the product.

The Walkman truly revolutionized the electronics industry.  To properly introduce the impact of the innovation, Sony held a launch event for journalists where the message was completely communicated via Walkman.  The guests were ushered onto a tour bus where each was given one of the new products.  The tape inside introduced the Walkman.  The bus took the journalists to a nearby park where active people used the product while riding a bike and roller skating - all choreographed to the taped explanation of the power of mobility unleashed by this radical new invention.

In the first month of availability, only 3,000 of the initial production run of 30,000 units sold, seemingly validating the predictions of the skeptics.  However, in the next month, the entire first batch sold out.  Mobile music had become a phenomenon across Japan. Sony and its retail partners struggled to keep up with demand.  Soon, fans around the world were begging Sony to take the product global.

By 1986, the Walkman had become so ubiquitous and synonymous with mobile music that the word “Walkman” was added to the Oxford English Dictionary.  More than 50 million units of the product family shipped in the first 10 years, with that number doubling again by 1992.  

Not only was the Walkman a huge commercial success that helped put Sony on the map as a consumer electronics and entertainment powerhouse, but it also radically transformed how people listen to music.

Technology and design writer Liz Bailey explained to the BBC “what the Walkman really changed was the culture of music: you could now listen to what was effectively the soundtrack of your own life, starring you as yourself.” 

What Sony did was take a product that, by assumption, was fixed, and made it mobile.

People previously listened to music in a small number of places - primarily in specific rooms in their home and in their cars. The Walkman liberated music from those constraints of place.  Music went from being fixed to being mobile, and as a result, music sales, especially on cassette tapes boomed.  During the 1980s, the recording industry had to introduce a new Multi-Platinum award for titles that sold more than 2 million copies.

This transformation created tremendous new value for the customer.  Music could now be enjoyed anywhere, anytime.  Instead of being limited to the waking times spent at home or in the car, customers were listening while traveling, while playing and exercising, while commuting on public transport, and in previously musically deprived parts of their homes.

That value creation translated into growth for the consumer electronics industry, and most importantly for Sony, a strong foundation for the company’s development into a global powerhouse.

The Mobile Declaration of Independence

Monday, July 31st, 2006

As promised, we have now completed the Mobile Declaration of Independence.  I look forward to hearing your feedback on it!

When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for people to dissolve the technological bonds which have connected them with a specific place for a specific task and to assume among the powers of the earth, the free and mobile status to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident:

  • That all men are created equal.
  • That they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights.
  • That among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.
  • That to secure these rights, Technologies are implemented among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the enabled,
  • That whenever any Form of Technology becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to replace it, and to implement new Technology, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.

Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Technologies long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the tools to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Technology, and to provide new Enablers for their future happiness.

Such has been the patient sufferance of this society; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their formerly adopted Technologies. The history of the present Big Bell Dogma is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the continuation of an absolute Tyranny over all people and businesses. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have proposed solutions in the most humble terms: Our repeated proposals have been answered only by repeated injury. A Dogma whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to define how we run our businesses, do our jobs, and live our lives.

Nor have We been wanting in warnings to our technology brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by the Dogmatists to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have implored them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our advances in productivity and connectivity. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of logic. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, those seeking to drive mobility into all we do and are, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the interest of serving this society and economy, solemnly publish and declare, That we are, and of Right ought to be Free and Mobile; that we are Absolved from all Allegiance to the Big Bell Dogma, and that all forced fixed connection is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as a Free and Mobile Society, we have full Power to develop and implement mobile technologies, introduce new mobile processes, and to do all other Acts and Things which Free and Mobile businesses and individuals may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to offer each other our Products, our Services and our efficient Processes.

Mobile Declaration of Independence: The Preface

Tuesday, July 25th, 2006

Over the last few weeks, we have been pursuing the creation of a Mobile Declaration of Independence.  Two weeks ago, we identified our oppressor as Big Bell Dogma.  Last week, we developed a list of charges against this oppressor.

This week, we re-work the preface to the American Declaration of Independence to express the cause we are declaring.  Let me know what you think!

When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for people to dissolve the technological bonds which have connected them with a specific place for a specific task and to assume among the powers of the earth, the free and mobile status to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident:

  • That all men are created equal.
  • That they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights.
  • That among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.
  • That to secure these rights, Technologies are implemented among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the enabled,
  • That whenever any Form of Technology becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to replace it, and to implement new Technology, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.

Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Technologies long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the tools to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Technology, and to provide new Enablers for their future happiness.

Such has been the patient sufferance of this society; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their formerly adopted Technologies. The history of the present Big Bell Dogma is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the continuation of an absolute Tyranny over all people and businesses. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

Mobile Declaration of Independence: The Charges

Tuesday, July 18th, 2006

As previously noted, the American Declaration of Independence is largely a collection of charges against the King of Great Britain, justifying dissolution of the political bonds between Britain and the 13 American colonies. In that original post, I challenged us to develop a Mobile Declaration of Independence and to do so by August 2.

Last week, I proposed that our new Mobile Declaration of Independence focus on freedom from the oppression which I coined as “Big Bell Dogma.”

This week, I’d like to focus on the list of charges to be brought against this oppressor in justifying our claim of independence.

Depending on how you count them, the original Declaration included somewhere between 18 and 27 charges. By my quick analysis, they are grouped into roughly six categories:

  • Refusal to pass new laws
  • Lack of representation by legislature
  • Blocked immigration
  • Obstruction of justice
  • Harrassment by officers and soldiers
  • Waging a brutal war against the citizens of the American colonies

Rather than listing specific offenses of the “Big Bell Dogma” (since each of us could probably develop our own lengthy, but unique list), I propose that we list the broad categories of offenses. Here are the ones I propose:

What do you think? Does this cover the types of offenses by the “Big Bell Dogma” against mobility against which we must declare our freedom?

Mobile Declaration of Independence: Our Oppressor

Tuesday, July 11th, 2006

A week ago I laid down the challenge for us to create a Declaration of Independence for mobility. In that post, I pointed out that the bulk of the original 1776 American Declaration of Independence was a series of charges against the King of England indicating how the American colonies were being oppressed.

For us to declare our independence, we must first identify our oppressor.

Clearly, mobility provides freedom from “fixedness.” As we develop our list of charges against our oppressor, they will largely or entirely be the injustice of being tied to a specific location.

But what is forcing us into this fixed state?

Being in the telecom industry, the easy answer is the traditional telephone network. However, I believe that many fixed things and processes that are now being made mobile are tied to a place by non-telephone components - either because the equipment involved is too difficult to move or because of other forms of connectivity that are place-specific.

As much as anything, I think what we’re struggling against is a mindset that is firmly embedded in how products and processes are designed and in how businesses operate.

For fun, I’d like to call this oppressing force “Big Bell Dogma.”

According to Wikipedia, “dogma” is belief or doctrine held by a religion, ideology or any kind of organization to be authoritative and not to be disputed or doubted.

I think this well captures the mindset against which we fight. It is the belief held by product development groups and by those that define processes that “of course it can’t move, it never has.”

“Big Bell” is a reference to the way AT&T built the telephone network over the last century or so. As mentioned above, not all oppression against mobility is related to telephony, but I think the mindset of that old company well reflects the mindets we’re fighting against.

In Nerds 2.0.1, this mindset is well reflected by this quote from Len Kleinrock, one of the key players in the establishment of the ARPAnet, which would become the Internet: “I would say, ‘Please give us good data communications,’ and they would reply, ‘The United States is a copper mine - we have phone lines everywhere so use the telephone network.’ I would counter, ‘But you don’t understand, it takes twenty-five seconds to set up a call, you charge me for a minimum three minutes, and all I want is to send a millisecond of data.’ Their reply was, ‘Go away, children, the revenue stream from data transmission is dwarfed by that of our voice traffic.’ So the children went away and created the Internet!”

Back in 1995 when I co-founded an Internet startup, I encountered this same mentality within the businesses that we were selling to - a sense that communications would never change. Even though the original AT&T had been broken up 11 years earlier, when I asked one of our customers who his local telephone company was, his retort was “AT&T, of course!”

These examples are specific to the Internet, but I believe this “dogma” extends to a bias against mobility as well. The copper and fiber networks that have been built by the telecom industry represent truly “buried” costs that have historically translated into tremendous wealth creation. Obviously, these assets are well suited to continue to serve a purpose in the information economy, but newer technologies provide tremendous advantages for many applications that have traditionally been served by these fixed facilities.

What we fight against is the mindset represented by those who defend the tethering of products and processes to specific places. This mindset is fueled by the investments that have been made that establish power in the companies, departments, and individuals that stand in the way of mobilizing our lives and our businesses. These investments are not always in hard assets, but often are investments of time and experience to establish intellectual and relational assets. We should expect our assault on these “fixed” ways to be defended to the death.

So, at least personally for me, this “Big Bell Dogma” is a fair representation of the oppressor that is holding back the independence promised by Mobility.

Editorial note: Although there is still a company called AT&T, I think my readers recognize that the modern AT&T is not really the “bad guy” I’m referencing here.

The original AT&T was first dismantled in 1984 as the result of a Justice Department anti-trust action. The company that retained the AT&T name continued to self-destruct, first splitting out its innovation arm as Lucent and its computing arm as NCR and later spinning off AT&T wireless.

The company formerly known as Southwestern Bell was one of the “Baby Bells” created in 1984 out of AT&T and has been working hard to recreate much of what the original Ma Bell had been, most dramatically acquiring the remains of AT&T and taking on that moniker in the past few months.

However, this new AT&T is a very different company that has benefited as much from the fall of the old Ma Bell as anyone has. I’m not saying that the new AT&T is immune from the defensiveness described above as “Big Bell Dogma” (are any of us?), but I ask that no one equate the two.

.mobi doa?

Thursday, July 6th, 2006

Techdirt is reporting that domain registrations for the .mobi TLD are lagging to the point that the .mobi folks have had to extend the registration period.  Of course, this is no surprise to us, since:

a) There’s no need for a new domain - businesses just need to develop mobile-friendly versions of their site and use the existing web standards to automatically point mobile users to the mobile-friendly version, and

b) .mobi itself reflects the lack of understanding of its organizers since .mobi is one of the hardest TLDs to type on a mobile device (especially if the only input is a numeric keypad).

 

Painfully living in the real world

Wednesday, July 5th, 2006

Jason Fry, in his column in the Wall Street Journal this week (subscription required), wrote about frustrating gaps between how we want the mobile world to work and how it really does.  I share his frustrations.  However, his article rambles quite a bit and reaches an inconsistent conclusion. 

His first observations are about how we’ve come to enjoy the power of the Internet, and then he laments that that power isn’t yet available on mobile devices.

I had a recent experience with that frustration, which should be a lesson for any business.  This weekend, my family and I went shopping.  Before we left, I looked up online the address of a couple of businesses that I’d never been to but that I wanted to check out.  My memory is lacking and I accidentally left at home the paper on which I’d written down the addresses, but the first place I wanted to try I remembered the general area it was in and, based on the address, believed I’d be able to see it while driving down a main thoroughfare.

Unfortunately, we didn’t see it, even after retracing our steps a couple of times.

No problem.  I pulled out my PPC-6700 and typed in the web address for the chain of businesses, one of which I was looking for.  The website format totally fell apart on the small screen of my Windows Mobile device, but I was able to find the form field to type in a zip code and the button to “Find Stores.”  With my broadband connection, the resulting page quickly appeared, however, the dark blue left border of the web page completely covered up everything except the last few characters of the longest lines of each address, making it impossible to read anything.

As frustration and impatience grew within the car, we merely drove on to their competitor whose location I’d remembered well enough to find.

The mobile world failed, simply because the web developers of that global business had failed to accomodate the needs of a mobile user.  As I’ve pointed out before, this is not such a hard problem to solve.  Broad adoption of mobile-friendly adaptation of web content would be a huge first step towards making the Mobile World a better world.

But Mr. Fry doesn’t stop there.  He spends most of the article talking about the cool use of a compass and GPS in a cellphone as embodied by GeoVector to enable information interaction in a real-world way that goes way beyond anything possible on the Web.

This is truly cool stuff and really points towards the power of mobility.  I hope that these kinds of futures happen and that they happen soon.

But, Mr. Fry closes by blaming wireless providers for the fact they haven’t happened yet.

“If even GeoVector’s current services sound like science fiction, to an unfortunate extent they are — in the U.S. Why does it seem like our cellphones and PDAs do so much less than Japan’s? Blame a combination of factors — but above all, blame the four big U.S. wireless companies.”

Given that GeoVector only announced their technology on May 1 of this year, I think Mr. Fry needs to give wireless carriers time to adopt this new cool stuff. 

Hopefully we’ll all soon by pointing and clicking on the real world (as GeoVector would describe it).

In the meantime, Mr. Fry and I could both benefit from learning to exercise some patience.

Creating a Mobile Declaration of Independence

Tuesday, July 4th, 2006

Happy 4th of July!

We in these United States of America set aside this day to celebrate the relative freedom that we have. The date is picked because of the linkage to the specific act of adopting a Declaration of Independence from the Kingdom of Great Britain under King George III. (Although, of course, these days Great Britain is a strong friend and ally of the Americans.)

The parts of that document that most often come to my mind are the noble words of “When in the course of human events…” and self-evident truths and that all men (and women) “are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights” including “Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.”

These are strong and powerful words, containing concepts to which we should cling tightly.

But, in reality, most of the document is an indictment of how the King and his government had abused the American colonies and therefore stating their case for separation and independent sovereignty.

On this day, I propose that we begin work on creating a declaration of independence for mobility.

For those of us who believe passionately in mobility, I sense that much of what we value in mobility is the freedom that it brings us. But freedom from what? Do we feel oppressed when we don’t have mobility? Just as the Revolutionary War had been raging for over a year when the Continental Congress voted to adopt the American Declaration of Independence, the Mobility Revolution has begun, but it is far from won.

Don’t get me wrong. I don’t really see mobility on the same level as democracy and freedom from oppression. I don’t truly equate this bloodless revolution with the ones in which real people die. Most of all, I’m too much of a coward to pledge my life, my fortune, or my sacred honor to this cause of freedom.

But I still see value in this exercise.

I set as a goal to have this declaration complete by August 2 since that was the day that most of signers put their names to the original Declaration of Independence. I hope you’ll help me over the coming weeks.

Are you with me?

A few side notes: