Archive for September, 2007

Three-quarters of a year

Sunday, September 30th, 2007

Well, we’re three-quarters through the year. Seems like a good time to check in on the predictions I made nine months ago.

(hit)1. Cingular will disappear.
Cingular who?

(pending)2. Sprint Nextel Corp. will launch WiMax in at least one market.
Sprint keeps turning up the volume on WiMax. Chicago will be one of the first markets launced and Motorola (Sprint’s partner in Chicago) has already demoed a working network there.

(miss – so far)3. Verizon Wireless will start moving away from ?network? messaging.
Verizon’s still hanging their hat on that old tired “most reliable network” claim….

(pending) 4. Most cellphones will include at least a 2Mpixel camera.
A quick survey of 15 camera phones on the Sprint website uncovers 3 VGA camera models, 10 models with a 1.3MP camera, and just 2 with 2.0MP cameras. This one’s not looking good!

(hit) 5. The breakout phone of the year will be popular because of usability, not style.
Maybe you’ve heard of the iPhone?

(promising) 6. People watching TV or downloading/streaming music on their phones will no longer seem fantastic.
Music phones (thanks Apple) have clearly become mainstream. There also have been meaningful advances in mobile TV.

(pending) 7. At least one major consumer electronics company will announce mobile bandwidth built into a consumer product.
Momentum is building. Will a product announcement come before year end?

(pending) 8. Context will begin showing up in an increasing number of mobile applications.
Search, social networking, travel guides, etc. Momentum is building.

(partial) 9. Clearwire will offer mobile voice over WiMax in at least one market.
In May, Clearwire issued a press release about their trial of Mobile WiMax in a Portland suburb: ?The successful completion of the first phase of our mobile WiMAX trial is a significant milestone in our efforts to commercially deploy true mobile broadband services in the U.S.,? said Scott Richardson, Clearwire chief strategy officer…. ?By demonstrating initial performance consistent with the WiMAX industry standards, we are making great progress in our ability to evolve our networks to take advantage of the benefits of a standards-based technology for future Clearwire subscribers.?

So, I’ll claim a “hit” on the “mobile” part.

Clearwire has been working the “phone” part back into their story as well, for example this September press release: “Clearwire Corporation (NASDAQ: CLWR) is unwiring Nashville with the introduction of its next-generation wireless broadband solution.? The company announced today the official launch of its wireless high-speed Internet access and phone service to the city, its first market deployment in the state of Tennessee.”

I’m still guessing they will get “mobile” plus “phone” working together as a ?mobile voice? offer by the end of 2007.

(hit) 10. This blog will be significantly higher profile.
I set the goal that blog traffic for December 2007 would be triple what it was in December 2006. I use FeedBurner to track subscribers. In September 2007, there 3.3 times as many average daily subscribers to the Law-of-Mobility blog as the average number of daily subscribers last December.

Bottom line: So three “hits” and two that are likely to be misses.? I’m guessing three or four of the remainder will come through by year end. So, hopefully I’ll end up better than 50%.

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Now playing: Bryan Duncan – Paradise

Big Bell Dogma: September 2007

Saturday, September 29th, 2007

As we work to build mobility into every product, service, and process, our greatest inhibitor is the mindset represented by those who defend the tethering of products and processes to specific places. This mindset is fueled by the investments that have been made that establish power in the companies, departments, and individuals that stand in the way of mobilizing our lives and our businesses. These investments are not always in hard assets, but often are investments of time and experience to establish intellectual and relational assets. We should expect our assault on these ways to be defended to the death. Here are recent examples:

Complete list here.

(For more context, read the Mobile Declaration of Independence.)

SprintCut for the Week of 9/23/07

Saturday, September 29th, 2007

Sprint has introduced a web site called waitless.org that is intended to help you live life at “SprintSpeed.” Although the site has little to do with mobility, they are fun ideas. So, every week I’ll share one.

Beyond the Phone: September 2007

Friday, September 28th, 2007

Converging products into a cellphone is one way that mobility is getting built into every product, but it’s not the only way. Every month, I’ll focus on devices that are integrating the power of mobility into products themselves in ways that create new value for the customer. Power up!

 

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Now playing: Abigail Washburn – Rockabye Dixie

Enabling Technology: Week of 9/23/07

Friday, September 28th, 2007

The Law of Mobility talks about value increasing with mobility. The impact of this law is being felt because the barriers to building mobility in are being obliterated week after week. Here are examples of technology advances enabling this to happen:

Full list here.

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Now playing: This Train – Mary Alice

Business Models: September 2007

Thursday, September 27th, 2007

As the Mobility Era matures, obviously a key question will be “how to make money?”. There are plenty of opinions on the best answer to this question. The below is very inclusive and I provide no editorial functions, so don’t take from my selections, ordering, headlines, etc. any indications of the interests or plans of my employer (if you do, you’ll undoubtedly be disappointed when they don’t play out):

Indicators: Week of 9/23/07

Thursday, September 27th, 2007

More and more, the world around us reflects the growing assumption of the law of mobility. Each week we will track indicators of Mobility’s growing importance in our businesses, our lives, and our society:

Full list here.

Recent Research: September 2007

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

Research is good. Free highlights from expensive research reports are great. Here are some recent headlines:

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Now playing: Carolyn Arends – All Is Well

Capturing the Power: Week of 9/23/07

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

Mobility is a wonderful thing. As mobility gets built into all products and services, businesses need to learn how to both capture the power of mobility and manage the dangers introduced through mobility. Here are some examples of how the power of mobility is being applied to create competitive advantage:

Complete list here

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Now playing: Joshua Banner – If I Die

Managing the Danger: Week of 9/23/07

Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

In order to be winners in the new mobile era, businesses will not only need to capture the power of mobility, but also manage the danger. Highlighted below are recent examples of the danger of mobility and how some firms are beginning to manage it:

Full list here.

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Now playing: Aaron Sprinkle – Gravel